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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2021-09-06T19:48Z

Model Inputs:
2021-09-05T21:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=0.0, Lat.=7.0, Speed=537.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2021-09-06T04:21Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2021-09-09T01:35Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -23.9 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 18.1 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.1
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=4
(kp)180=5

Other Location(s) Impact:
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2021-09-08T04:17Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2021-09-09T05:45Z
STEREO B with estimated shock arrival time 2021-09-09T00:00Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2021-09-08T02:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210906_042100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2021-09-06T20:22Z by Chigomezyo Ngwira

A Notification with ID 20210907-AL-001 was sent on 2021-09-07T15:56Z
A Notification with ID 20210908-AL-001 was sent on 2021-09-08T11:31Z

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