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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2021-09-24T16:37Z

Model Inputs:
2021-09-23T05:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-32.0, Lat.=-14.0, Speed=300.0, HalfAngle=48.0, Time21.5=2021-09-23T16:44Z
2021-09-23T16:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-16.0, Lat.=-21.0, Speed=428.0, HalfAngle=32.0, Time21.5=2021-09-23T23:28Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2021-09-26T23:30Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: 0.5 hr]
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=4
(kp)135=3
(kp)180=2

Other Location(s) Impact:
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2021-09-26T10:18Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2021-09-25T16:21Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2021-09-27T01:00Z (Minor Impact) [PE: -7.0 hr]

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210923_164600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :


Submitted on 2021-09-24T16:58Z by Anna Chulaki

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