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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2022-08-17T17:36Z

Model Inputs:
2022-08-17T14:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=18.0, Lat.=-26.0, Speed=767.0, HalfAngle=49.0, Time21.5=2022-08-17T19:26Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2022-08-20T06:35Z (+- 7 hours)
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 27.3 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.2
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=4
(kp)135=5
(kp)180=6

Other Location(s) Impact:
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2022-08-21T15:12Z
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2022-08-18T20:42Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2022-08-20T17:30Z
STEREO B with estimated shock arrival time 2022-08-20T05:15Z

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220817_192600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2022-08-17T17:49Z by Chris Stubenrauch

A Notification with ID 20220817-AL-004 was sent on 2022-08-17T18:00Z

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