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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2023-01-19T18:57Z

Model Inputs:
2023-01-19T11:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-35.0, Lat.=-2.0, Speed=826.0, HalfAngle=26.0, Time21.5=2023-01-19T15:45Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2023-01-22T17:00Z (+- 7 hours)
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=2
(kp)135=3
(kp)180=4

Other Location(s) Impact:
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2023-01-24T13:17Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2023-01-22T04:34Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2023-01-22T09:07Z
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2023-01-24T02:00Z (Minor Impact)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230119_154500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :
Minor impact to Lucy at 2023-01-24T02:00Z

Submitted on 2023-01-19T19:03Z by Anna Chulaki

A Notification with ID 20230119-AL-001 was sent on 2023-01-19T19:51Z
A Notification with ID 20230120-AL-003 was sent on 2023-01-20T17:34Z


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