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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2023-02-25T22:00Z

Model Inputs:
2023-02-25T19:38:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=15.0, Lat.=-3.0, Speed=1339.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2023-02-25T22:09Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2023-02-27T08:09Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -2.1 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 16.8 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 4.7
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=7
(kp)135=8
(kp)180=9

Other Location(s) Impact:
OSIRIS-REx with estimated shock arrival time 2023-03-01T07:14Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2023-02-27T05:20Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2023-02-27T09:52Z [PE: 9.9 hr]
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2023-03-01T08:00Z (Minor Impact)
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2023-03-02T00:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230225_220900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2023-02-25T22:35Z by Mary Aronne

A Notification with ID 20230226-AL-001 was sent on 2023-02-26T00:19Z

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