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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2023-05-05T14:15Z

Model Inputs:
2023-05-05T06:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-90.0, Lat.=8.0, Speed=790.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2023-05-05T11:10Z
2023-05-05T08:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-34.0, Lat.=2.0, Speed=955.0, HalfAngle=37.0, Time21.5=2023-05-05T11:48Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2023-05-07T19:35Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: 6.2 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 24.0 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.1
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=4
(kp)135=6
(kp)180=7

Other Location(s) Impact:
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2023-05-10T08:51Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2023-05-07T14:14Z

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230505_111000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :
The mission Lucy may also see an impact on 2023-05-11.

Submitted on 2023-05-05T14:24Z by Carina Alden

A Notification with ID 20230505-AL-001 was sent on 2023-05-05T15:08Z
A Notification with ID 20230506-AL-004 was sent on 2023-05-06T13:14Z


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