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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2023-07-10T17:48Z
Model Inputs: 2023-07-10T04:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=37.0, Lat.=-10.0, Speed=901.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2023-07-10T07:48Z 2023-07-10T12:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=95.0, Lat.=-10.0, Speed=663.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2023-07-10T17:22Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2023-07-12T23:48Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -16.0 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 25.7 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.1 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=3 (kp)135=4 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: OSIRIS-REx with estimated shock arrival time 2023-07-13T10:54Z Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2023-07-11T10:00Z STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2023-07-12T22:11Z [PE: -36.3 hr] Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2023-07-14T02:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230710_074900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : The CME with ID 2023-07-10T12:00:00-CME-001 is predicted to give a glancing blow to Solar Orbiter around 2023-07-14T02:00Z (plus/minus 7 hours). The impacts to NASA Missions Near Earth, STEREO A, Parker Solar Probe, and OSIRIS-REx can be attributed to CME with ID 2023-07-10T04:00:00-CME-001. Submitted on 2023-07-10T17:52Z by Mary Aronne No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
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