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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2023-11-29T13:49Z
Model Inputs: 2023-11-27T06:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=10.0, Lat.=-31.0, Speed=556.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2023-11-27T12:38Z 2023-11-27T20:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-15.0, Lat.=-4.0, Speed=500.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2023-11-28T02:57Z 2023-11-27T23:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-37.0, Lat.=38.0, Speed=997.0, HalfAngle=32.0, Time21.5=2023-11-28T03:11Z 2023-11-28T20:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=13.0, Lat.=0.0, Speed=910.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2023-11-29T00:03Z 2023-11-28T20:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=2.0, Lat.=-6.0, Speed=768.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2023-11-29T01:03Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2023-11-30T07:14Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -25.6 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 18.4 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.7 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=3 (kp)135=4 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2023-11-29T04:37Z Psyche with estimated shock arrival time 2023-11-30T15:16Z Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2023-11-30T05:00Z STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2023-11-30T02:26Z [PE: -29.8 hr] Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231127_124000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif Note : This WSA-ENLIL+Cone simulation was launched to analyze the possible interactions between five different CMEs observed on 2023-11-27 and 2023-11-28. Review of these model outputs indicates that the predicted impacts and arrival times of these CMEs is similar to those of prior WSA-ENLIL+Cone model runs for which notifications were issued. Submitted on 2023-11-29T14:12Z by Anna Chulaki No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
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