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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2023-12-14T20:23Z
Model Inputs: 2023-12-14T07:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=83.0, Lat.=-30.0, Speed=684.0, HalfAngle=37.0, Time21.5=2023-12-14T12:25Z 2023-12-14T08:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=50.0, Lat.=-18.0, Speed=517.0, HalfAngle=13.0, Time21.5=2023-12-14T15:03Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: No or little impact to Earth. Other Location(s) Impact: OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2023-12-16T04:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20231214_122500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif Note : The results of this 2-CME simulation suggest a glancing blow to OSIRIS-APEX based on visual inspection of the timeline output. However, it is more likely that only CME: 2023-12-14T08:36Z will impact OSIRIS-APEX as the single simulation result of this CME had a nearly identical arrival time with no additional amplifications in solar wind parameters after being simulated together with CME: 2023-12-14T07:00Z. Submitted on 2023-12-14T20:25Z by Mattie Anastopulos No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
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