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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-01-29T08:43Z
Model Inputs: 2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=25.0, Lat.=7.0, Speed=1888.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-01-29T06:17Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-01-30T11:21Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -42.0 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 16.2 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 4.7 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=7 (kp)135=8 (kp)180=9 Other Location(s) Impact: Psyche with estimated shock arrival time 2024-01-31T14:07Z Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2024-01-30T16:48Z STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-01-30T10:16Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_061700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif Note : This is a preliminary measurement of the shock front for this CME to support SEP modeling, and not the bulk portion which will be modeled separately pending further analysis. Submitted on 2024-01-29T08:45Z by Tony Iampietro No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
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