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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-02-28T17:06Z

Model Inputs:
2024-02-28T09:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-31.0, Lat.=-16.0, Speed=867.0, HalfAngle=28.0, Time21.5=2024-02-28T13:06Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-03-02T15:00Z (+- 7 hours)
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=2
(kp)135=4
(kp)180=4

Other Location(s) Impact:
Psyche with estimated shock arrival time 2024-03-04T18:51Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2024-03-01T02:09Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-03-02T18:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_130600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif

Note :
Note that timelines for Earth/STEREO A and Kp are affected by a bug in the post-processing script and arrival time in them should be disregarded. The simulation animations are not affected by this and can be trusted.

Submitted on 2024-02-28T17:12Z by Anna Chulaki

A Notification with ID 20240228-AL-001 was sent on 2024-02-28T17:38Z


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