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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-04-24T19:33Z
Model Inputs:
2024-04-23T09:12:00-CME-001
with CME
Analysis:
Lon.=-41.0, Lat.=6.0, Speed=484.0, HalfAngle=28.0, Time21.5=2024-04-23T15:46Z
2024-04-23T18:12:00-CME-001
with CME
Analysis:
Lon.=60.0, Lat.=-39.0, Speed=608.0, HalfAngle=26.0, Time21.5=2024-04-23T23:50Z
2024-04-23T18:24:00-CME-001
with CME
Analysis:
Lon.=60.0, Lat.=-34.0, Speed=444.0, HalfAngle=47.0, Time21.5=2024-04-24T02:43Z
2024-04-24T01:48:00-CME-001
with CME
Analysis:
Lon.=29.0, Lat.=-31.0, Speed=431.0, HalfAngle=28.0, Time21.5=2024-04-24T09:08Z
Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow)
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-04-26T22:00Z (+- 7 hours)
[PE: 21.7 hr]
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=2
(kp)135=3
(kp)180=4
Other Location(s) Impact:
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-04-30T20:00Z
(Minor Impact)
OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2024-04-27T12:00Z
(Glancing Blow)
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-04-26T00:00Z
(Glancing Blow)
Psyche with estimated shock arrival time 2024-04-30T00:00Z
(Glancing Blow)
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-04-26T22:00Z
(Glancing Blow)
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif
Note
:
This 4-CME simulation does not show a change in impacts from previous simulation results https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30263/1, https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30254/1, and https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30264/1.
Submitted on 2024-04-24T19:54Z by Mary
Aronne
No Notification has been sent for this activity yet.
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