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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-05-04T19:55Z
Model Inputs: 2024-05-04T06:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-2.0, Lat.=29.0, Speed=804.0, HalfAngle=23.0, Time21.5=2024-05-04T10:19Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: (Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-06T21:00Z (+- 7 hours) Possible Kp index: (kp)90=3 (kp)135=4 (kp)180=5 Other Location(s) Impact: STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-06T18:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240504_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : This simulation is of the SHOCK portion of this CME to support ISEP modeling efforts. For BULK impacts, which pass north of Earth and STEREO A but may give a glancing blow, see here: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30440/1 . | Front arrival at Lucy appears to enhance the existing density stream, but no separate front "arrival" is observed in the timelines. Submitted on 2024-05-04T20:02Z by Tony Iampietro No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
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