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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-05-08T18:23Z

Model Inputs:
2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=9.0, Lat.=-7.0, Speed=870.0, HalfAngle=43.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T09:30Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T12:14Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -4.4 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 22.3 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.3
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=6
(kp)135=7
(kp)180=8

Other Location(s) Impact:
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T08:48Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T07:28Z [PE: -6.5 hr]
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T13:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2024-05-08T18:27Z by Tony Iampietro

A Notification with ID 20240508-AL-012 was sent on 2024-05-08T18:43Z

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