Space Weather Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (DONKI)
Go to:
|
WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-05-08T18:42Z
Model Inputs: 2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=9.0, Lat.=-7.0, Speed=870.0, HalfAngle=43.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T09:30Z 2024-05-08T12:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=3.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=776.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T16:58Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T12:19Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -4.3 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 13.3 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.0 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=6 (kp)135=7 (kp)180=8 Other Location(s) Impact: Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T08:42Z STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T07:27Z [PE: -6.5 hr] Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T13:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : CME 2024-05-08T05:36Z remains minimally changed from its single simulation (https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30591/1 ). CME 2024-05-08T12:24Z catches up and causes a secondary enhancement within this singular arrival around 2024-05-10T17:00Z, which is a slightly earlier time than its single simulation arrival time of 2024-05-11T01:39Z (+- 7 hours) (https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30568/1 ). Submitted on 2024-05-08T18:45Z by Tony Iampietro No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
| Comments by users: |
| 0 comment received. |
The Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and other entities provide data to DONKI as a courtesy to the community.
By visiting this site, you acknowledge that you understand and agree to the Important Disclaimer Notice
If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.
Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy