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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-05-09T20:28Z

Model Inputs:
2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=9.0, Lat.=-7.0, Speed=870.0, HalfAngle=43.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T09:30Z
2024-05-08T12:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=3.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=776.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T16:58Z
2024-05-08T19:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-23.0, Lat.=3.0, Speed=828.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T23:27Z
2024-05-08T22:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=12.0, Lat.=-16.0, Speed=1130.0, HalfAngle=40.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T01:43Z
2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=19.0, Lat.=-6.0, Speed=1330.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T11:56Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T13:03Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -20.4 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 22.4 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 4.1
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=8
(kp)135=9
(kp)180=9

Other Location(s) Impact:
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T04:05Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T07:53Z [PE: -6.1 hr]

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2024-05-09T20:38Z by Carina Alden

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