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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-05-13T00:35Z

Model Inputs:
2024-05-10T21:28:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=2.0, Lat.=-42.0, Speed=717.0, HalfAngle=18.0, Time21.5=2024-05-11T02:27Z
2024-05-11T01:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=51.0, Lat.=0.0, Speed=1263.0, HalfAngle=51.0, Time21.5=2024-05-11T04:22Z
2024-05-10T23:13:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=0.0, Lat.=-22.0, Speed=445.0, HalfAngle=42.0, Time21.5=2024-05-11T06:00Z
2024-05-11T03:12:00-CME-002 with CME Analysis: Lon.=50.0, Lat.=5.0, Speed=1032.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2024-05-11T06:45Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-13T12:23Z (+- 7 hours)
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 42.2 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.1
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=5
(kp)180=5

Other Location(s) Impact:
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-15T04:37Z
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-14T06:18Z
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T07:59Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-13T01:07Z

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_060000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2024-05-13T01:23Z by Anna Chulaki

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