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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-06-25T20:34Z
Model Inputs: 2024-06-25T05:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=39.0, Lat.=3.0, Speed=556.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2024-06-25T13:12Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-06-28T14:04Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: 4.9 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 19.8 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.7 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=3 (kp)135=4 (kp)180=5 Other Location(s) Impact: STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-06-28T03:43Z Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-06-30T14:00Z (Glancing Blow) Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-06-29T00:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gifm Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : Parker Solar Probe (PSP) is not included in these WSA-ENLIL+Cone simulation results due to a planned perihelion pass. Based on PSP's current location and the observed CME's measured speed, it is separately estimated by the M2M Office that PSP may observe the CME around 2024-06-26T01:16Z. Submitted on 2024-06-25T20:40Z by Mary Aronne A Notification with ID 20240625-AL-001 was sent on 2024-06-25T20:53Z |
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