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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-06-30T13:47Z
Model Inputs: 2024-06-29T03:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=64.0, Lat.=-13.0, Speed=885.0, HalfAngle=28.0, Time21.5=2024-06-29T07:26Z 2024-06-29T04:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=36.0, Lat.=-27.0, Speed=506.0, HalfAngle=33.0, Time21.5=2024-06-29T10:42Z 2024-06-29T16:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=26.0, Lat.=-33.0, Speed=809.0, HalfAngle=44.0, Time21.5=2024-06-29T20:35Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-07-02T22:06Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -1.6 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 33.5 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.5 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=3 (kp)135=4 (kp)180=5 Other Location(s) Impact: Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-03T02:53Z STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-02T06:41Z [PE: -9.8 hr] Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-05T00:00Z (Glancing Blow) OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-01T10:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240629_072500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : CME with ID: 2024-06-29T03:36:00-CME-001 is expected to impact Mars at 2024-07-03T02:53Z and give a glancing blow to OSIRIS-APEX on 2024-07-01T10:00Z. CME with ID: 2024-06-29T16:12:00-CME-001 is expected to impact NASA Missions near Earth at 2024-07-02T22:06Z and give a glancing blow to Lucy at 2024-07-05T00:00Z. All 3 CMEs are expected to combine and impact STEREO A at 2024-07-02T06:41Z. Submitted on 2024-06-30T13:55Z by Mary Aronne A Notification with ID 20240630-AL-002 was sent on 2024-06-30T14:35Z |
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