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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-07-29T19:22Z

Model Inputs:
2024-07-29T02:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=15.0, Lat.=-22.0, Speed=564.0, HalfAngle=22.0, Time21.5=2024-07-29T07:27Z
2024-07-29T02:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=45.0, Lat.=16.0, Speed=534.0, HalfAngle=27.0, Time21.5=2024-07-29T08:06Z
2024-07-29T13:25:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=50.0, Lat.=20.0, Speed=750.0, HalfAngle=28.0, Time21.5=2024-07-29T18:05Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-08-01T16:00Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -0.8 hr]
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=2
(kp)135=4
(kp)180=4

Other Location(s) Impact:
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-08-01T07:25Z [PE: 12.4 hr]
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-31T06:00Z (Minor Impact)
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-08-02T15:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240729_080700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2024-07-29T19:34Z by Hannah Hermann

A Notification with ID 20240729-AL-007 was sent on 2024-07-29T21:13Z

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