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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-09-11T17:26Z

Model Inputs:
2024-09-11T02:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=3.0, Lat.=25.0, Speed=742.0, HalfAngle=29.0, Time21.5=2024-09-11T06:29Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-09-13T20:10Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: 2.1 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 24.4 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.1
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=5
(kp)135=6
(kp)180=7

Other Location(s) Impact:
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-09-12T10:14Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-09-13T19:54Z
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-09-14T00:00Z (Glancing Blow)
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-09-16T04:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240911_062900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2024-09-11T17:55Z by Melissa Kane

A Notification with ID 20240911-AL-003 was sent on 2024-09-11T18:24Z

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