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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-10-03T17:06Z
Model Inputs: 2024-10-03T12:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-3.0, Lat.=-4.0, Speed=863.0, HalfAngle=53.0, Time21.5=2024-10-03T16:29Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-10-05T21:49Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -9.1 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 29.7 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.2 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=6 (kp)135=8 (kp)180=8 Other Location(s) Impact: Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-05T16:59Z Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-07T01:21Z STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-05T16:34Z [PE: -2.9 hr] Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-04T10:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : This is a SHOCK measurment for SEP model support. For 2.0AU CME BULK impacts, see: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/33705/1 Submitted on 2024-10-03T17:16Z by Tony Iampietro No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
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