Space Weather Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (DONKI)
Go to:
|
WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 5.5 AU with Completion Time:
2024-10-03T17:29Z
Model Inputs: 2024-10-03T12:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-3.0, Lat.=-4.0, Speed=863.0, HalfAngle=53.0, Time21.5=2024-10-03T16:29Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-10-05T21:03Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -9.9 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 28.1 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.2 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=6 (kp)135=8 (kp)180=8 Other Location(s) Impact: Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-05T15:54Z Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-07T01:13Z STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-05T16:04Z [PE: -3.4 hr] Juno with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-16T22:00Z (Glancing Blow) Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-04T10:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juno_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241003_162900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif Note : This is a SHOCK measurement for SEP model support. For 5.5AU CME BULK impacts, see: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/33706/1 Submitted on 2024-10-03T17:34Z by Tony Iampietro No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
| Comments by users: |
| 0 comment received. |
The Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and other entities provide data to DONKI as a courtesy to the community.
By visiting this site, you acknowledge that you understand and agree to the Important Disclaimer Notice
If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.
Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy