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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-10-04T21:39Z

Model Inputs:
2024-10-03T20:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=51.0, Lat.=1.0, Speed=646.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-10-04T01:59Z
2024-10-04T04:13:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=22.0, Lat.=-19.0, Speed=832.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-10-04T09:16Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-10-06T19:18Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -26.9 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 34.5 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.9
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=4
(kp)135=6
(kp)180=6

Other Location(s) Impact:
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-07T13:49Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-06T07:57Z [PE: -0.1 hr]
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-07T04:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241004_015800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :


Submitted on 2024-10-04T21:50Z by Anna Chulaki

A Notification with ID 20241004-AL-002 was sent on 2024-10-04T23:06Z


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