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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-10-30T18:31Z

Model Inputs:
2024-10-29T13:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=46.0, Lat.=-31.0, Speed=922.0, HalfAngle=47.0, Time21.5=2024-10-29T18:13Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-11-01T10:00Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: 14.5 hr]
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=4
(kp)180=4

Other Location(s) Impact:
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-11-01T22:39Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-31T17:15Z [PE: -6.8 hr]
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2024-10-31T18:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241029_181300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gif

Note :
The flank of this CME may give a glancing blow to Juice at 2024-11-01T00:00Z (+/-7 hours) and Europa Clipper at 2024-11-01T06:00Z (+/-7 hours).

Submitted on 2024-10-30T19:03Z by Mattie Anastopulos

A Notification with ID 20241030-AL-002 was sent on 2024-10-30T20:09Z


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