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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-11-04T13:27Z

Model Inputs:
2024-11-04T01:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-37.0, Lat.=12.0, Speed=1067.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2024-11-04T04:54Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-11-06T09:15Z (+- 7 hours)
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 35.6 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.1
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=4
(kp)135=6
(kp)180=7

Other Location(s) Impact:
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-11-05T18:12Z
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-11-05T17:36Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2024-11-05T10:49Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-11-07T02:00Z (Glancing Blow) [PE: 9.7 hr]

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241104_045400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gif

Note :
The CME may also impact Juice at 2024-11-05T21:44Z and Europa Clipper at 2024-11-06T16:38Z (plus/minus 7 hours).

Submitted on 2024-11-04T13:35Z by Mary Aronne

A Notification with ID 20241104-AL-001 was sent on 2024-11-04T14:03Z
A Notification with ID 20241104-AL-004 was sent on 2024-11-04T23:54Z


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