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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2013-12-06T13:28Z

Model Inputs:
2013-12-04T23:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-15.0, Lat.=48.0, Speed=700.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2013-12-05T05:16Z
2013-12-05T00:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=68.0, Lat.=20.0, Speed=650.0, HalfAngle=26.0, Time21.5=2013-12-05T06:11Z
2013-12-05T21:09:00-CME-002 with CME Analysis: Lon.=19.0, Lat.=-21.0, Speed=775.0, HalfAngle=40.0, Time21.5=2013-12-06T00:31Z
2013-12-05T21:09:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-100.0, Lat.=-13.0, Speed=775.0, HalfAngle=15.0, Time21.5=2013-12-06T01:05Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2013-12-08T04:59Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: 5.0 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 18.1 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.8
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=4
(kp)180=5

Other Location(s) Impact:

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20131205_052000_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20131205_052000_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20131205_052000_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20131205_052000_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20131205_052000_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20131205_052000_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20131205_052000_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20131205_052000_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif

Note :


Submitted on 2013-12-06T20:40Z by Anna Chulaki

A Notification with ID 20131206-AL-003 was sent on 2013-12-06T21:00Z
A Notification with ID 20131208-AL-003 was sent on 2013-12-08T05:33Z


Comments by users:

"Note that the alert should have listed the CME: 2013-12-05T21:09:00-CME-001 and its parameters, not the earlier CME 2013-12-04T23:12:00-CME-001, that is still predicted to arrive at the time indicated in the previous alert (2013-12-07T18:00Z, alert 20131206-AL-001)" --Commented by Leila Mays on 2013-12-08T03:00:49 (version 1)
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