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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2025-10-14T16:26Z

Model Inputs:
2025-10-12T14:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=1.0, Lat.=33.0, Speed=448.0, HalfAngle=23.0, Time21.5=2025-10-12T22:06Z
2025-10-12T14:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=10.0, Lat.=12.0, Speed=409.0, HalfAngle=23.0, Time21.5=2025-10-12T22:28Z
2025-10-13T01:25:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=17.0, Lat.=6.0, Speed=589.0, HalfAngle=19.0, Time21.5=2025-10-13T06:45Z
2025-10-13T06:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=14.0, Lat.=36.0, Speed=393.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2025-10-13T15:03Z
2025-10-13T13:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=19.0, Lat.=36.0, Speed=536.0, HalfAngle=31.0, Time21.5=2025-10-13T19:35Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Minor Impact) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-10-16T12:00Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -21.5 hr]
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=4
(kp)180=5

Other Location(s) Impact:
OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2025-10-16T09:03Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2025-10-14T13:48Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2025-10-16T22:00Z (Glancing Blow) [PE: -15.4 hr]

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251012_220800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Version 1 submitted on 2025-10-14T17:35Z by Tony Iampietro
No Notification has been sent for this activity yet.


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