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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 5.5 AU with Completion Time: 2025-11-06T15:14Z

Model Inputs:
2025-11-04T22:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-36.0, Lat.=29.0, Speed=639.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2025-11-05T04:31Z
2025-11-05T10:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-37.0, Lat.=9.0, Speed=1123.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2025-11-05T13:56Z
2025-11-05T22:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-12.0, Lat.=41.0, Speed=1028.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2025-11-06T01:36Z
2025-11-05T23:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-21.0, Lat.=33.0, Speed=676.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2025-11-06T04:17Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-11-07T02:52Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -19.0 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 40.0 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.7
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=7
(kp)135=8
(kp)180=8

Other Location(s) Impact:
BepiColombo with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-05T18:08Z
OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-06T22:50Z
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-06T18:35Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-07T07:50Z

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juno_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251105_043300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gif

Note :

Version 1 submitted on 2025-11-06T18:04Z by Melissa Kane
No Notification has been sent for this activity yet.


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