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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2025-11-12T01:49Z
Model Inputs:
2025-11-09T07:24:00-CME-001
with CME
Analysis:
Lon.=2.0, Lat.=18.0, Speed=734.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2025-11-09T12:12Z
2025-11-10T09:36:00-CME-001
with CME
Analysis:
Lon.=19.0, Lat.=8.0, Speed=1298.0, HalfAngle=33.0, Time21.5=2025-11-10T11:42Z
2025-11-10T13:08:00-CME-001
with CME
Analysis:
Lon.=0.0, Lat.=23.0, Speed=630.0, HalfAngle=27.0, Time21.5=2025-11-10T18:35Z
2025-11-11T10:23:00-CME-001
with CME
Analysis:
Lon.=22.0, Lat.=24.0, Speed=1856.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2025-11-11T11:54Z
Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-11-11T16:13Z (+- 7 hours)
[PE: -26.6 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 22.7 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.5
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=6
(kp)135=7
(kp)180=8
Other Location(s) Impact:
BepiColombo with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-11T07:23Z
OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-11T05:54Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-11T02:27Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-11T20:55Z
[PE: -32.5 hr]
Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = https://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20251109_121300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif
Note
:
Multiple bumps are present in the simulation timelines as the CMEs do not all combine in the simulation results.
Version 1 submitted on 2025-11-12T12:56Z by Mary Aronne
No Notification has been sent for this activity yet.
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