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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 5.5 AU with Completion Time: 2025-11-12T02:20Z

Model Inputs:
2025-11-09T07:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=2.0, Lat.=18.0, Speed=734.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2025-11-09T12:12Z
2025-11-10T09:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=19.0, Lat.=8.0, Speed=1298.0, HalfAngle=33.0, Time21.5=2025-11-10T11:42Z
2025-11-10T13:08:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=0.0, Lat.=23.0, Speed=630.0, HalfAngle=27.0, Time21.5=2025-11-10T18:35Z
2025-11-11T10:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=22.0, Lat.=24.0, Speed=1856.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2025-11-11T11:54Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-11-11T15:54Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -27.0 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 21.5 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.6
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=6
(kp)135=7
(kp)180=8

Other Location(s) Impact:
BepiColombo with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-11T07:17Z
OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-11T05:34Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-11T02:08Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-11T20:48Z [PE: -32.6 hr]

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juno_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251109_121300_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gif

Note :
Psyche is not included in these simulation results. Multiple bumps are present in the simulation timelines as the CMEs do not all combine in the simulation results. 
Version 1 submitted on 2025-11-12T13:05Z by Mary Aronne
No Notification has been sent for this activity yet.


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