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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2014-03-31T12:41Z
Model Inputs:
2014-03-29T18:39:00-CME-001
with CME
Analysis:
Lon.=36.0, Lat.=34.0, Speed=707.0, HalfAngle=46.0, Time21.5=2014-03-29T23:03Z
2014-03-30T12:24:00-CME-001
with CME
Analysis:
Lon.=38.0, Lat.=44.0, Speed=437.0, HalfAngle=31.0, Time21.5=2014-03-30T19:24Z
2014-03-30T13:48:00-CME-001
with CME
Analysis:
Lon.=-69.0, Lat.=35.0, Speed=453.0, HalfAngle=22.0, Time21.5=2014-03-30T22:24Z
Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow)
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2014-04-02T00:00Z (+- 7 hours)
Other Location(s) Impact:
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2014-04-04T00:00Z
(Glancing Blow)
MESSENGER with estimated shock arrival time 2014-03-30T12:00Z
(Glancing Blow)
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Note
:
Model predicts no impact, but glancing blows are possible:
Mercury: 2014-03-30T12:00Z
Earth: 2014-04-01T18:00Z
Maven: 2014-04-02T12:00
Mars: 2014-04-04T00:00Z
Submitted on 2014-03-31T17:16Z by Yaireska
Collado
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